The Texas real estate market is headed for a slowdown. The question is for how long.

As Texans adjust to life under orders to stay at home during the coronavirus pandemic — and scramble to cover expenses with incomes that were drastically cut or abruptly shut off — housing and real estate experts say it’s hard to predict what the parallel public health and economic crises will do to home values and sales. A lot depends on how long the twin troubles last. “We definitely will have a slowdown, but the question is how much and how long,” said Scott Norman, executive director of the Texas Association of Builders. That’s a sudden about-face for what had been, until now, one of the most dynamic real estate markets in the country. The state has had five consecutive years breaking records in terms of numbers of houses sold and median prices, according to Texas Realtors. And Texas’ home building industry has been solid, too; no other state had more building permits in 2019, according to census data. Luis Torres, an economist with the Texas A&M Real Estate Center, said the housing sector can be a barometer for the economy as a whole because it affects jobs of laborers, builders, Realtors and a litany of other professions. “And it has a multiplier effect into the rest of the economy, from moving companies to furniture stores,” Torres said. Already, experts are seeing slowdowns in home showings — which are now largely done virtually — and expect that permits for new construction might also drop. For regions whose residents rely largely on the energy industry for work, like Houston or the Permian Basin, or on cross-border trade, like the Rio Grande Valley, home values and sales may dip more than in other Texas regions. Click to read more at www.news-journal.com.

HOUSTON OFFICE | Q1 2020 Quarterly Market Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Vacancy rate at 21.5%
The overall vacancy rate in the Houston office market was up 20 basis points quarter-over-quarter, and up 70 basis points year-over-year. The vacancy rate for Class A properties is at 22.2%, and Class B at 22.3%. In the first quarter, overall net absorption totaled negative 207,280 sq. ft.—Class A represented positive 207,297 sq. ft. and Class B corresponded to negative 363,773 sq. ft. Of the 3.4 million sq. ft. currently under construction, about 42% of that space has been spoken for. Of the three properties completed in 2020, totaling 300,000 sq. ft., 97% of that space is leased. The overall Houston average asking full-service rent is at $29.33 per sq. ft.—down from year-end 2019’s $29.84 per sq. ft.—while the Central Business District is averaging $39.34 per sq. ft.

Houston economic indicators Houston started 2020 with healthy job gains—led by leisure and hospitality, and health industries. Serviceproviding industries were accelerating, while goodsproducing sectors had slight contractions, with modest to no growth in manufacturing. However, oil and stock markets have been whirling from the impacts of COVID-19 on world economies and a flood of crude from OPEC. As noted in NAI Partners’ Houston Office Market QuickTake, these factors have cast a weighty shadow over the outlook for the region. On a year-overyear basis, Houston grew 2.3% (71,100 jobs). Houston’s unemployment rate was flat at 3.8% in February. For comparison, the February unemployment rate was 3.5% in Texas and 3.5% in the U.S. This data precedes the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak in the U.S.

Houston Industrial and Logistics Summit RECAP

• Waller County in the past was resistant to growth and that has changed since residents have seen the strong tax base which can come from industrial users who need to grow out of Houston; the County realizes now that high-paying jobs can come with industrial development as well; the County has few drainage issues since it has slightly rolling terrain; a new rail-served park is in place; the world’s largest cricket field is coming to Prairie View, emblematic of Houston’s diversity; the conversion from Ag land to industrial tax base can have a huge economic benefit to the County, and the residents have realized the difference this makes
• La Porte works diligently to balance the needs of citizens with needs of industrial users, but available land is dwindling, and remaining tracts in some cases are being hoarded for future use as City Fathers try to get it into ‘best hands’; high tax base from industrial users enables high-end services to local citizens; the City realizes that ‘time is money to developers’ and it makes available meet-ups where a developer can come and sit down with all City department heads in one meeting to determine the level of support for his proposed land use
• Storm surge and inundation was minimal in La Porte during Harvey; nonetheless, attention is being given to future weather issues; a Tri-County cooperative effort has been established including Baytown and Chambers County after severe flooding in the Cedar Bayou watershed from rain and rising water which saw 6-8 feet of water invade a large industrial development which had been recently completed; the cooperative group is seeking regional, state, and federal dollars for future deluge and storm surge prevention, while pre-Harvey there was minimal cooperation

Click to read more at www.rednews.com.

A Great Opportunity Awaits Within the Empty Walls of Our Beloved Astrodome

Over the past several years, there’s been a continuous conversation about the iconic Astrodome and what should be done with it. Dubbed the “Eighth Wonder of the World,” Houstonians certainly don’t want to see the Astrodome go, as it is a landmark deeply embedded into the hearts and minds of our beloved city. Ideas have been thrown around, yet none of them seem to stick. The $105 million county-approved plan to renovate and build a multi-story parking garage that was approved under Judge Ed Emmett’s court in 2018 has been placed on hold until further notice. Why not put the Astrodome to good use as a catalyst for making Houston the petrochemical capital of the world? Houston is famously known as the world capital of the international energy industry, petroleum exploration, space exploration, medical communities and vast port systems across the Gulf. Our city hosts the annual Offshore Technology Conference (OTC), one of the largest oil and gas tradeshows in the world, which features the industry’s latest technology, products, networking opportunities and more. On average, more than 59,000 people attend OTC annually, with more than 15,000 attendees visiting from outside the U.S. In addition, Houston is also headquarters to more than 500 oil and gas exploration and production companies and has 10 refineries producing over 2.6 million barrels of crude oil daily. Click to read more at www.leeassociates.com.

Avison Young Houston 2020 Expectations

Houston’s 2020 commercial real estate market outlook is positive with a few challenges in the office sector. The metro’s economy continues to recover from a lackluster energy market amid a general slowdown of global trading; nonetheless, job growth should remain positive through 2020.
Despite global trade stagnation, Port Houston, a major economic driver,
reports increasing volume and value, which should carry over into 2020 to remain among the top ports in foreign and domestic tonnage. Click to read more at www.rednews.com.

Hunt Real Estate Capital Provides $18.1 Million Fannie Mae MAH Loan to Refinance

an Affordable Multifamily Property Located in Houston, Texas

New York, NY — January 28, 2019 — Hunt Real Estate Capital announced today that it has provided a Fannie Mae Multifamily Affordable Housing (MAH) Preservation loan in the amount of $18.1 million to refinance an affordable multifamily community located in Houston, Texas.

Copperwood Ranch Apartments is a 280-unit, garden-style multifamily community that was developed by the borrower in 2003 through the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) program. Located at 6833 Lakeview Haven Drive, the property is situated on 12.1 acres of land and offers 48 one-bedroom, one-bathroom units; 168 two-bedroom, two-bathroom apartments; and 64 three-bedroom, two-bathroom units contained in 16 two- and three-story buildings. The community also features one single-story clubhouse building.

The 15-year loan features two years of interest-only payments followed by a 30-year amortization schedule. The property’s 15-year compliance period ended on December 31, 2019, through the borrower will ensure that 100% of units will be occupied by low-income households (household income not exceeding 60% of AMI) during a 15-year extended use period.

“This is the fourth Agency loan that we have closed for this experienced sponsor since 2016,” noted Paul Weissman, Senior Managing Director and Head of Affordable Housing Finance at Hunt Real Estate Capital. “The borrower currently maintains a Texas portfolio of 11 affordable housing communities with more than 2,300 units. Copperwood Ranch has been well maintained by the ownership for the past 16 years, with more than $160,000 in capital expenditures invested since 2018.”

Property amenities include a swimming pool, recreation room, playground, laundry facilities, gated access, covered parking, fitness center, Wi-Fi in common areas, business center, and internet/computer library. 

The property is located approximately 22 miles northwest of the Houston Central Business District. 

About Hunt Real Estate Capital

Hunt Real Estate Capital (HREC), a subsidiary of ORIX Corporation USA, is a leader in financing, investing and managing multifamily housing and commercial real estate. HREC is a source of debt and equity capital for multifamily, affordable housing, manufactured housing, healthcare/senior living, retail, office, industrial, self-storage, and mixed-use assets through Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, its own balance sheet and managed public and private investment vehicles. To learn more, visit //huntrealestatecapital.com.