Ray’s Buzz: O’Connor & Associates Land Forecast Luncheon-Speaker: Davis Adams, Managing Director, JLL

Bullets-General:
• As infill development continues in multi-family and retail, land prices continue to rise
• Increasing density equals increasing traffic on our streets-we are all noticing that
• Houston area population has grown from 6 to 7 million in last ten years, and is projected to grow by 3 million more in the next 10-15 years…the equivalent of moving the combined populations of Austin and San Antonio into Greater Houston-how will all the cars fit?
• In spite of our hearty growth rate, the DFW Metroplex is growing just a little bit faster
• Oil industry technology continues to lower the cost of producing oil & gas, which has mixed results for the Houston economy
• Infill land prices are ranging from $80-120 in The Heights and from $20-35 in nearby Garden Oaks

Click to read more at www.rednews.com.

Ray’s Buzz: All Systems Go In The Industrial Market

United State Industrial Market-Takeaway:
All monitored US markets have industrial rates in the single digits, and occupancies are expected to remain high ongoing. E-commerce warehousing demand to accommodate sorting, distribution, and logistics is strong and we are seeing higher (even multi-story) warehouses as developers work with tenants to meet their evolving needs. Labor markets are tight and will get tighter, resulting in rising wages. Asked rents are rising and this may offset projected rising interest rates over time. Industrial remains the most attractive segment to lenders and investors alike. Click to read more at www.rednews.com.

Adding New Uses a Profitable Proposition, Developers Say at RECon

As the costs of land, labor and construction rise, more developers are focusing on upgrades to existing properties than they are on seeking ground-up developments or value-added centers, executives said at a RECon panel discussion. “It’s been hard to make deals economical if we can’t get the land for free,” said Conor Flynn, CEO of Kimco Realty Corp. “We haven’t been able to go out and find a site and make it work.” So mixed-use has become a big push for the firm, Flynn said. Click to read more at www.icsc.org.

Renovation and Amenities

In this issue of Insights, we offer perspectives to capitalize on opportunities that continue to be created in a growing economy, and to maintain a house in order, with preparations made to weather market corrections or flattening economic growth, should those changes occur. Our cover story on office renovations and office amenities samples current building features and services, and discusses why many tenants not only desire, but require, amenity-rich workplaces to support their business strategies. Click to read more at www.transwestern.com.

Only Ripples Likely From Next CMBS Maturity Wave

What begins, must end, one way or another. As loan originators gradually ramped up after the Great Recession, and the packaging of commercial mortgage-backed securities grew apace, so the CMBS sector now faces a wave of maturities from 2020 through 2023 that totals more than $170 billion. According to a new Morningstar research report, the good news is that the on-time payoff rate is likely to remain in the range of 80 to 85 percent. This would be stronger than the payoff rate than during 2015 and 2017, when $222.48 billion in CMBS hit maturity, “because of more selective underwriting standards, rising valuations, and the Fed’s dovish interest-rate outlook amid a slowing economy,” the company says. Click to read more at www.cpexecutive.com.

NE Houston’s Industrial Submarket Breaking Records

HOUSTON – The northeast industrial submarket broke records in first quarter 2019, delivering 438,000 sf, with an additional 835,200 sf—the second-largest amount during a quarter—under construction. According to NAI Partners, the market contains 37 million sf of inventory. Vacancies have been gradually rising due in part to new inventory delivering with vacant space. Click to read more at www.recenter.tamu.edu.