Prologis Closes $26 Billion Acquisition of Indianapolis-based Duke Realty Corporation

Prologis and Indianapolis-based Duke Realty Corporation have completed their $26 billion merger agreement. In this major deal, Prologis will acquire Duke Realty in an all-stock transaction.

Both companies announced today that their boards of directors have unanimously approved the transaction.

“We have admired the disciplined repositioning strategy the Duke Realty team has completed over the last decade,” said Prologis co-founder, chief executive officer and chairman Hamid Moghadam, in a written statement. “(Prologis) has built an exceptional portfolio in the U.S. located in geographies we believe will outperform in the future. That will be fueled by Prologis’ proven track record as a value creator in the logistics space. We have a diverse model that allows us to deliver even more value to customers.”

How big is this acquistion? Proglois now acquires 153 million square feet of operating proproperties in 19 major U.S. logisics locations and 11 million square feet of developments in progress, about $1.6 billion in total expected investment.

Prologis is also acquiring 1,228 acres of land owned and under option with a build-out of about 21 million square feet.

“This transaction is a testament to Duke Realty’s world-class portfolio of industrial properties, long-proven success and sustainable value creation we’ve delivered over the years,” said Duke Realty chairman and chief executive officer Jim Connor, in a written statement. “We are confident that this transaction – including the meaningful opportunity it provides for shareholders to participate in the growth and upside from the combined portfolio — is in the best long-term interest of Duke Realty shareholders.”

Following personal dialogue between the executive teams of both companies, Prologis first sent a letter to Duke Realty on Nov. 29, 2021, regarding a potential transaction. On May 3, 2022, Prologis modestly increased the proposed exchange ratio – representing a 34% premium to Duke Realty’s stock price at the time– in a final attempt to engage privately to reach agreement on a mutually beneficial transaction. Duke Realty rejected the Prologis proposal that same evening.

The negotiations are now over, and the acquisition will move forward.

One Retail Sector That’s Thriving Today? The Ghost Kitchen and the Ghost Franchise

Ordering food from a delivery app? The odds are it might come from a ghost kitchen. And if you don’t know what these are, you will soon. Industry
analysts say that these kitchens – which prepare foods either from online-only restaurants or from several traditional restaurants in an area – are becoming a big part of the U.S. restaurant business.

Ghost kitchens, at their most basic, are commercial kitchens that don’t come
with storefronts. They also don’t come with any physical dine-in or drive-through restaurant attached. Instead, they are spaces that restaurant owners might rent to prepare food off-site so that they can deliver it more quickly to their customers. A single ghost kitchen space, then, might prepare the food from several different restaurants in an area.

Then there are those restaurants that don’t have any actual dining or carry-out spaces at all. They instead rely on an Internet presence and several ghost kitchens across the country. These so-called ghost chains run no physical restaurants. Customers instead order food online where it is then prepared in a ghost kitchen near them. Click to read more at www.rednews.com.

No End to the Boom Times? U.S. Industrial Market Still Thriving

The industrial market has thrived both before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. And this sector is showing no signs of slowing as companies continue to seek or build warehouse space across the Midwest and the country.

Midwest Real Estate News spoke with Alfredo Gutierrez, president and founder of Houston-based industrial real estate investment firm SparrowHawk, about what’s behind this continued surge in industrial activity and whether any slowdown is on the horizon.

We all know that the industrial sector is booming today. What are some of the factors driving this explosion in demand?

Alfredo Gutierrez: There is a lot going on. I am not in the camp that says it is all ecommerce driven. Ecommerce is a function of it, but it is not the driving force. Ecommerce was at plus or minus 16% of all retail sales in 2019. It popped up as high as 22% or 24%. Now it has settled back down at about 20%. It is a bit of a higher percent of sales than before the pandemic. We have seen an acceleration of consumers who might not have otherwise been interested in ecommerce embracing this way of shopping.

Look at someone like my mom. She never would have shopped online. The pandemic forced her to come into it. The growth of the younger generation that is pushing the growth of ecommerce will continue. But now many of the people in the more resistant generations are shopping online, too. Companies need more warehouse and distribution space to get the products to their consumers faster. But clearly ecommerce is not the only thing going on to fuel this demand we are seeing for industrial space.

What else is pushing the demand for industrial real estate?

Gutierrez: Manufacturers have discovered that while labor is cheaper in other countries, it is not as efficient. The United States is the most efficient labor market for employers. That is 100% attributed to the resources and technology we have that makes workers much more efficient. With labor being at such a tight, tight number, it has been forcing companies to invest in technology, artificial intelligence, those kinds of items. It was the only way for companies to continue to grow when it’s been so difficult to find labor. As they are doing this, companies are beginning to relocate their manufacturing back to the United States or near-shoring in Mexico. They want to get that manufacturing closer to home. They might not be saving on labor, but they will save on transportation and shipping. That was occurring before 2020, but it only accelerated during the pandemic, and is now having an impact on the amount of industrial space we need in this country.

The pandemic exacerbated the issue. The manufacturing and inventory components were strained. Now everyone is playing catch-up to get back to the stock levels of 2019. But they also want to add 5% to 10% on top of that. There isn’t enough industrial space now to accommodate that. In 18 months, we are going to be out of space. There is barely a year’s worth of vacant industrial space on the market. And that is assuming that every space works for every tenant. If you are saying we have just 18 months of supply, it is worse than that. We need more industrial space, and that, too, is causing an increase in the demand in this sector.

How much of a challenge are rising labor and materials costs today?

Gutierrez: Everything is getting more expensive. Transportation costs are absolutely on the rise. We all know labor costs are rising, too. Go to your local restaurant and they are looking for staff. I haven’t walked into any business in the last 12 months that says they have everybody they need. There are not enough people at any level to cover the demand for services from Americans. That is a problem, and it is putting further pressure on wage increases across the sector.

Nearly 60% of the inflation we are having is fuel related. That is putting a disproportionate amount of pressure on the industries that rely on fuel. If you are a company that is trucking product around, you are relying on fuel big-time. The cost of labor and the cost of fuel are the two biggest strains for companies in the industrial space today.

It can be difficult for tenants to find industrial space today. Do you see this changing anytime soon?

Gutierrez: It will remain challenging throughout this year. I strongly believe that companies and developers will struggle to find industrial space through 2023. The supply is not there. The time it takes to build buildings has expanded. The projects that were taking nine months from shovels in the ground to delivery are now taking 10 to 12 months. The ones that were taking 12 months are now taking 14 to 16 months. Everyone working in the development side of the equation has seen their lead times increase.

What type of industrial space is especially difficult to find today?

Gutierrez: From what I’ve seen, the smaller units are harder and harder to find. They are not being reproduced. There is not a lot of multi-tenant or small buildings in development because of economies of scale. Developers prefer to build a 6- or 7-million-square-foot building instead of a 200,000-square-foot building that accommodates four or five tenants. Commodity costs hit you more on that smaller unit. It is more expensive to build them.

Are there any markets across the country that you think are especially strong in the industrial sector?

Gutierrez: The Midwest markets and the coasts have the lowest vacancies. Everyone has low vacancies, but most of the Midwest markets have vacancy rates down at 3%. Some are as low as sub-2%. I am more excited about the Midwest product than I am about the product on the coasts. I think that our distribution mode and supply chain models are changing. If you are producing product in Mexico, you need to ship it right up the highway through Dallas and then up to Chicago. You’ll then hit the Midwest markets to distribute it to the U.S. population because of their location in the center of the country. I’m not saying that California will be dead. You will always have product there. But the growth of where the supply chain is going is coming from down south or in the southeast and then funneled through the middle of the country.

Do you have any predictions on when we might see the industrial market cool off?

Gutierrez: Vacancy rates will go up eventually. At some point, you are going to see developers building too much supply. We are not perfect. When developers start putting product out there that they are delivering in 12 months and demand starts to cool halfway through, they have to finish building that space. There is always an overhang. But I don’t think we’ll see a huge amount of overbuilding.

A Craze for Self Storage: New Development in Chicago More Than Triples in 2022

The pandemic heightened demand for self-storage as people squeezed gyms, play areas and office space into their homes. Now there’s a second boom as people choose to continue to work from home, return to the office, or a combination of the two, making self-storage a long-lasting business.

So much so, that over 131 million square feet of new storage space is planned and under construction around the U.S., a number that would increase existing stock by 9%, according to data from Yardi Matrix. Fifty million square feet are scheduled to deliver this year alone.

In order to gauge which areas are expanding their storage inventory the most, RentCafe looked at a couple hundred of the biggest metros and ranked them based on the total rentable square footage currently planned or under construction.

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, specifically, ranks No. 10 nationally for new self-storage development, representing a little over 5% of its existing inventory, with 2.6 million square feet of space scheduled to come online. This is a 270% increase compared to 2021.

Ninety-one percent of the new self-storage facilities planned for Chicago are located in urban areas. This trend makes sense due to the lack of space that comes with city living, compared to suburban living spaces. The average size of an apartment in the city of Chicago is 750 square feet, according to RentCafe — well below the national apartment average of 882 square feet.

It helps self-storage, too, that people are having to downsize due to rent growth. The average street rate in Chicago is at $114, up 7% year-over-year. It’s a chain reaction. Rising rents leave many residents no choice but to downsize, therefore driving demand for storage outside of the home.

It was also found that Chicagoland expects to have a 5% increase in total supply once all development projects are completed.

Aside from Illinois, Texas’s population continues to grow exponentially, only driving demand for self-storage.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington continues to add new self-storage space to its 72 million-square-foot inventory. Dallas is the third most active self-storage market in the U.S., based on the report, with its new supply pipeline counting over 5.4 million square feet.

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land ranks No. 16 nationally for new developments, with close to two million square feet of planned and under-construction self-storage space to be added to its 68-million-square-foot inventory.

Amid Changing Tenant Expectations, Here’s how the Real Estate Industry is Adapting

The prolonged COVID-19 pandemic has continued to have a strong impact across the real estate industry, from construction and brokerage operations to the marketing of listings and property closings. That uncertainty presents special challenges in working with existing tenants of leased space.

Building management professionals and tenants themselves have stepped up to outfit properties to support the safety, comfort and overall well-being of their occupants, whether they are workers, customers or short-term visitors.

Today, a strategic focus on retaining tenants and attracting new ones is paramount. In a nationwide survey of 450 building managers and real estate consultants conducted in the summer of 2021 by Blue Skyre IBE and market research company HarrisX, a whopping 94% said their properties have either already or were in the process of upgrading HVAC filtration systems. Two-thirds of buildings have hand sanitation stations and frequent cleaning of high-touch areas, and 62% of those surveyed say temperature checks were required to enter the office.

A full 60% of property managers reported having a documented contingency plan for dealing with COVID-19 surges and 30% were preparing one.

Renegotiating lease terms

As tenants review their long-term space needs and seek changes to their real estate footprint, flexibility has become the norm. With in-office head counts expected to be reduced for the foreseeable future, it’s important to stay open to renegotiating lease terms early to satisfy tenants who might otherwise look to cut and run. The option to sublet their existing space, even for a limited period, has become appealing, especially for tenants unsure of their longer-term space needs.

Existing office tenants with traditional three- to five-year leases are having a much easier time shortening those commitments than they have in the past. In the retail sector, investors have reason for optimism. Net new-store openings exceeded closings in the fourth quarter of 2021, and leasing is showing signs of improvement.

Sale-leaseback option

Another option gaining traction is the sale-leaseback. A struggling business can improve its cash position by selling its owned real estate while retaining the right to use the property through a long-term lease. Investors seeking quality, income-producing property with a tenant willing to sign a long-term lease may find this an attractive opportunity. These commitments are usually 10 to 15 years.

What’s influencing office and retail recovery

The principal factors needed for office and retail recovery fall into three main areas:

Striking a balance between owner and tenant needs: Property owners are currently focused on tenant retention at all costs, but they also must satisfy investors.
Offering plentiful amenities and concessions: Owners and building managers will continue to be generous with concessions and keep rent hikes minimal in the next few years, until tenant demand notably increases. On-demand concierge and delivery services that sprang up in the pandemic are likely here to stay.
Remaining patient: Organic business growth may not be sufficient to generate absorption for current vacancies. In the absence of major industry shifts or a new industry entering a local market, population growth will be necessary to absorb the oversupply and bring down vacancy rates, especially in large urban centers.

Digital adoption accelerated by the pandemic has had enormous consequences for work life, consumer habits and the spaces people occupy. And attention to a building’s carbon footprint has become an essential component of any real estate footprint conversation.

Health and safety protocols pertaining to a structure, whether a new build or a retrofit, now double down on concerns like air filtration, insulation and other many other energy-efficiency priorities. Higher green building standards are not only good for the environment, they’ve become essential for business. The investor community’s expectations are changing along with the public when it comes to sustainable practices that will continue to matter long after the pandemic has subsided.

Looking for ways to adapt?

Wipfli can help you navigate real estate decisions during a time of dramatic market and economic volatility. Our advisors help guide your strategic planning and assess trends that matter most to your business. Making smart investment decisions requires thoughtful, proactive planning, not reactive changes in response to immediate events. We’re here to help you and your investors stay on track for the long run. Learn how we help.

Cory Bultinck is a partner in the Minneapolis office of Wipfli. You can reach him at cbultinck@wipfli.com.

Texas Retail Enjoying Resurgent Demand in Recovery

The “Texas Miracle” that defined the economic prosperity of the Lone Star State has cut a wide swath across all asset types. Beyond the pandemic, no asset type has realized more seismic changes in recent years than retail. From disruption in technology to consumer preferences, the space devoted to purchasing goods and services continues to evolve. While Texans share a common bond, the retailers and real estate community in every region of the State have had a unique experience navigating the choppy waters left by the pandemic.

Austin

Austin’s retail market remains on firm footing. Vacancies fell to about 3.5%, well below the national average of 4.5%, and are among the top-10 lowest in the country. The market has seen some of the strongest demand over the past year, with about 2 million square feet absorbed despite disruptions from COVID-19 variants. Substantial population and economic growth have kept the market strong over the past few years.

Swift action by Congress to get money in the hands of individuals and PPP loans into the hands of businesses helped keep the market afloat during the early days of the pandemic. However, the market hasn’t been kept strong just due to government stimulus. Significant expansions in the tech sector, wage growth, and household formation have buoyed retail prospects. Consumers have resumed normal spending patterns, driving leasing activity to within a short distance of pre-pandemic norms. Click to read more at www.rednews.com.