Now’s the Time to Invest in Texas

Alfredo Gutierrez, founder of SparrowHawk Real Estate Strategists, didn’t mince words. His firm specializes in the industrial market and the Lone Star State, he thinks, is the place to be. “With everything that’s happening with e-commerce right now, it’s ready to go,” Gutierrez said. Look to Central Texas for proof. When the pandemic hit, online retail quickly became an essential part of everyday life. “We have seen major e-commerce tenants and last-mile distributors scramble to secure quality infill warehouse space and expand into developing parts of the city,” said Kevin Cosgrove, vice president of Stream Realty Partners. “Many companies have decided to outsource their distribution / final mile operations to 3PL providers in the near term.” Now’s the time to invest in Texas 4958 Stout Drive, a 102,000-square-foot industrial space just east of downtown San Antonio. He also expected an influx of auto-related distribution and light manufacturing requirements in San Antonio in the next few months after Tesla announced it would open its Gigafactory in Austin, what Cosgrove called “a huge win for the region.” Today’s market may have been what CRE insiders hoped for, but few could have predicted the rollercoaster that was the first half of 2020. “We experienced record positive absorption in 2019 and steady rent growth in our core submarkets, but understood that we could be facing a downturn after a decade of economic growth,” Cosgrove said, explaining why Stream was cautiously optimistic heading into this year. Just in the past month, he listed 4958 Stout Drive, a 102,000-square-foot industrial space just east of downtown San Antonio. In addition to its prime location near the I-10 and Loop 410 interchange, the building is 100 percent climate controlled and offers tenants the ability to utilize an adjacent 2.5-acre fenced yard. Click to read more at www.rednews.com.

Retailers Have Started Paying Rent Again but are Still Fighting With Their Landlords

Month by month, retailers are starting to pay more rent as states lift shutdown orders and consumers become more comfortable venturing out to shop during the coronavirus pandemic. But negotiations, sometimes heated, continue between tenants and landlords. In some cities and popular shopping districts, commercial rents are still sky-high. Tensions keep brewing, as mall and shopping center owners grapple with retailers looking to close stores permanently, downsize or try to rewrite contracts in their favor. And the pressures are likely to roll into 2021, with the start of the year typically drawing a fresh wave of retail store closures as companies reevaluate their brick-and-mortar footprints after the holidays. Less than a third of companies paid at least 75% of June rent, according to a study released Thursday by the National Retail Federation and the investment bank PJ Solomon. By July, the number of rent payers had almost doubled to 65%, it said. The study polled 48 C-level executives at retailers with at least 10 stores and more than $100 million in sales in 2019, from July 15 to July 28. Click to read more at www.cnbc.com.

How the Pandemic Challenged Retail Real Estate

The retail real estate industry “has seen five to 10 years of change in six months” due to the COVID-19 pandemic, according to one of the most influential voices for retail real estate, Tom McGee. McGee, president and CEO of the International Council of Shopping Centers, recently spoke to the Weitzman team during a statewide meeting held virtually, which itself is evidence of the changes evoked by the pandemic. As the ultimate consumer-facing industry, retail is at the epicenter of the COVID-19 crisis, McGee said. Trends accelerated during the pandemic include curbside pickup, online shopping, and the merger of the digital and physical worlds. McGee noted that people talk about the different channels for shopping, but he says, “There is only one channel—the consumer channel.” To be successful, especially today, retailers need to satisfy customer needs no matter when, where, and how they want to shop. Many of these trends already were in the works, but the acceleration caused by the pandemic requires rapid structural changes on the part of shopping centers and retailers. Curbside, for example, requires restructuring traffic flow within a project and requires the retailer to adjust the store layout to accommodate the change. Post-pandemic, McGee expects to see a physical retail rebound to or near pre-pandemic levels, even though some changes like increased online shopping and curbside pickup will remain highly utilized. Click to read more at www.dmagazine.com.

Delivering in the Clutch

Until the COVID-19 pandemic hit the U.S. this spring, the country’s warehouse/logistics market was having a healthy multiyear run. According to Newmark Knight Frank national research, asking rents for 1Q2020 were up 4.1 percent from the year before, and vacancy was at a cyclical low of 5.4 percent. Construction was at a cyclical high – 68.2 million square feet of new space came on the market, and 322.7 million sf were under construction. And while the coronavirus has shaken every corner of the economy, some indicators show that warehouses will remain a relatively healthy market segment. An April report from Marcus & Millichap suggested that warehouses and distribution centers could weather the COVID-19 crisis “as much-needed supplies are funneled through a smaller supply chain.” But that’s not to say there won’t be challenges. One major factor contributing to the warehouse sector’s sturdy performance coming into 2020 was the continued rise of e-commerce. As consumers took more of their retail business online – and demanded speedier delivery times – companies looked for warehouse space that was closer to their customers, often closer to larger metropolitan areas. COVID-19, along with stay-at-home orders, shuttered stores, while consumer anxiety about public places put e-commerce into hyperdrive. An April report by Prologis noted that preliminary estimates suggested a 50-percent rise in e-commerce sales in March, versus the recent trend of around 15 percent. Click to read more at www.ccim.com.