CBRE Hotels research forecasts full demand recovery in Austin by late 2022

After suffering the greatest performance declines in the history of the U.S. lodging industry during 2020, the nation’s hotels will benefit from what is expected to be a relatively rapid economic turnaround in 2021 and 2022, according to the June 2020 edition of CBRE’s Hotel Horizons forecast report. By year-end 2020, the Austin-area hotel market occupancy level is forecast to decline to 40.4 percent, representing a 44.0 decline from 2019 levels. Average daily room rates (ADR) are estimated to fall to $103.13, which is a 28.4 percent decrease from 2019 levels. Resulting revenue per available room (RevPAR) falls from $103.89 in 2019 to $41.66 in 2020, a 59.9 percent decline. Looking forward, occupancies are expected to increase to the mid-60 percent levels by 2022, but not to the relatively high occupancy level of 72.1 percent experienced in 2019. Average daily rates are projected to have strong annual increases, but not surpassing 2019 levels until 2023. While RevPAR estimates show strong annual increases, RevPAR is not expected to surpass 2019 results until the third quarter of 2023. “Austin is a resilient market with many strong, diverse sources of room-night demand, but like the rest of the world, the lodging sector has been hit hard by the pandemic,” said Jeff Binford, managing director of CBRE Hotels South Central Division. “Once travel and social gathering restrictions can be safely lifted, Austin should see recovery more quickly than many other markets. Our expectation is the first wave of travel will be leisure travelers originating from reasonable driving distances, followed closely by business travelers. Groups, events and conventions may take a little longer before full recovery. Once travelers feel safe, many of the great Austin events will be back on the calendar.” Click here to read more at